Friday, September 29, 2006

Friday Poll Dancing

Let's take a look at what's happening in the latest polls for the 2006 Senate races:

Arizona

Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Kyl (R) 51% Pederson (D) 44%
Ariz. State 09/21 - 09/24 Kyl (R) 49% Pederson (D) 38%
Rasmussen September 20, 2006 Kyl (R) 50% Pederson (D) 39%

California

SurveyUSA 09/24 - 09/26 Feinstein (D) 55% Mountjoy (R) 35%

Connecticut

Quinnipiac 09/21 - 09/25 Lieberman (I) 49% Lamont (D) 39%
Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Lieberman (I) 46% Lamont (D) 44%

Delaware

Fairleigh Dickinson 09/14 - 09/19 Carper (D) 63% Ting (R) 23%

Florida

Strategic Vision 09/22 - 09/24 Nelson (D) 59% Harris (R) 31%
Rasmussen 09/19 - 09/19 Nelson (D) 56% Harris (R) 33%
Research 2000 09/18 - 09/20 Nelson (D) 55% Harris (R) 37%

Maryland

Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Cardin (D) 52% Steele (R) 39%
Potomac 09/15 - 09/18 Cardin (D) 51% Steele (R) 40%

Michigan

Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Stabenow (D) 49% Bouchard (R) 42%

Minnesota

SurveyUSA 09/25 - 09/27 Klobuchar (D) 51% Kennedy (R) 43%
Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Klobuchar (D) 49% Kennedy (R) 40%
Mason-Dixon 09/18 - 09/20 Klobuchar (D) 52% Kennedy (R) 37%
U. of Minnesota 09/13 - 09/18 Klobuchar (D) 52% Kennedy (R) 36%

Missouri

Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Talent (R) 47% McCaskill (D) 45%

Montana

Rasmussen 09/20 - 09/20 Tester (D) 50% Burns (R) 43%

Nebraska

Rasmussen 09/20 - 09/20 Nelson (D) 55% Ricketts (R) 32%

Nevada

Mason-Dixon 09/19 - 09/21 Ensign (R) 58% Carter (D) 35%
Rasmussen 09/06 - 09/06 Ensign (R) 50% Carter (D) 41%

New Jersey

Rutgers-Eagleton 09/24 - 09/26
, Menendez (D) 45% Kean (R) 44%
Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Menendez (D) 47% Kean (R) 41%
Rasmussen 09/22 - 09/22 Kean (R) 41% Menendez (D) 40%
Monmouth/Gannett 09/18 - 09/21 Kean (R) 44% Menendez (D) 38%

Pennsylvania

Strategic Vision 09/22 - 09/24 Casey (D) 50% Santorum (R) 40%
Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Casey (D) 46% Santorum (R) 40%
Quinnipiac 09/19 - 09/24 Casey (D) 54% Santorum (R) 40%
Greenberg Quinlan 09/18 - 09/19 Casey (D) 53% Santorum (R) 39%
Phil. Inquirer 09/14 - 09/20 Casey (D) 49% Santorum (R) 39%
Issues PA/Pew Poll 09/11 - 09/18 Casey (D) 54% Santorum (R) 31%

Ohio

Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Brown (D) 45% DeWine (R) 41%
Columbus Dispatch 09/09 - 09/22 Brown (D) 47% DeWine (R) 42%

Tennessee

Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Corker (R) 48% Ford (D) 42%

Vermont

Rasmussen 09/24 - 09/24 Sanders (I) 64% Tarrant (R) 32%

Virginia

SurveyUSA 09/24 - 09/26 Allen (R) 49% , Webb (D) 44%
Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Allen (R) 49% Webb (D) 44%

Washington

Zogby Interactive 09/19 - 09/25 Cantwell (D) 50% McGavick (R) 43%
Strategic Vision 09/22 - 09/24 Cantwell (D) 49% McGavick (R) 40%
SurveyUSA 09/21 - 09/25 Cantwell (D) 54% McGavick (R) 42%
Rasmussen 09/20 - 09/20 Cantwell (D) 48% McGavick (R) 42%

Notes and Random Thoughts: I would love to see Pederson and Carter pulling closer to their GOP opponents in Arizona and Nevada, respectively, but that doesn't seem to be happening… Lamont and Lieberman is far closer than the Quinnipiac poll would suggest and, as election day gets closer, Lieberman's total inability to get any Democrats to work for him on the ground will sink him -- if he's still even in the race by then…. Steele's cute "puppy" ads don’t appear to be helping in Maryland.

What were Stabenow and Menendez thinking, voting for the Bush's administration's hideous torture bill yesterday? Stabenow will survive in Michigan -- Menendez, maybe not so much, as Democrats register their utter disgust by simply staying home on November 7. Menendez's vote yesterday must have had them cracking champagne bottles at the headquarters of opponent Thomas Kean Jr.

Amy Klobuchar needs to really stumble hard to lose to Kennedy in Minnesota, while the Talent-McCaskill contest in Missouri remains perhaps the tightest race this year…. There's a lot of polling this month in Pennsylvania, but they all say the same thing -- Rick Santorum is burnt toast.

And I'd really like to see more polling out of Tennessee -- I sense major momentum building for Democrat Harold Ford Jr.